Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.603642 0.669294 0.740279 0.822925 0.916741 1.020201 1.143305
2025-08-31 0.494220 0.583352 0.687171 0.817838 0.979030 1.172823 1.425640
2025-09-07 0.435425 0.535689 0.658434 0.821362 1.034355 1.306690 1.686708
2025-09-14 0.386898 0.491485 0.624588 0.808861 1.061250 1.400612 1.901470
2025-09-21 0.350801 0.457822 0.598576 0.800605 1.088756 1.493773 2.122337
2025-09-28 0.313646 0.418463 0.560094 0.769569 1.078676 1.529832 2.261005
2025-10-05 0.297665 0.406099 0.556690 0.786373 1.137449 1.670495 2.575072
2025-10-12 0.282676 0.393492 0.551271 0.798784 1.189637 1.805391 2.896919
2025-10-19 0.267625 0.379350 0.542040 0.803885 1.229936 1.924560 3.207515
2025-10-26 0.254088 0.366248 0.533015 0.807939 1.268090 2.043233 3.532772
2025-11-02 0.243016 0.355926 0.527194 0.816141 1.313220 2.177841 3.905965
2025-11-09 0.227014 0.336856 0.506222 0.797465 1.310058 2.225953 4.118642
2025-11-16 0.218297 0.328812 0.502462 0.807752 1.359582 2.377302 4.565636
2025-11-23 0.207145 0.316163 0.490343 0.802655 1.380832 2.478121 4.924891
2025-11-30 0.198652 0.307212 0.483571 0.806106 1.417810 2.613124 5.380261
2025-12-07 0.188033 0.294072 0.468813 0.793879 1.423440 2.685460 5.705401
2025-12-14 0.179010 0.283050 0.456908 0.785804 1.436148 2.773472 6.082268
2025-12-21 0.166989 0.266281 0.434004 0.755445 1.401413 2.756542 6.199162
2025-12-28 0.163358 0.263672 0.435775 0.771883 1.463429 2.957335 6.904048
2026-01-04 0.159274 0.260015 0.435389 0.784024 1.517574 3.147328 7.619360
2026-01-11 0.154395 0.254668 0.431567 0.789013 1.556806 3.307793 8.287067
2026-01-18 0.149676 0.249341 0.427427 0.792978 1.594085 3.468316 8.989409
2026-01-25 0.145780 0.245281 0.425380 0.801000 1.641170 3.659022 9.824822